Evidence-ledger draft

Evidence-Ledger Synthesis of Temporal Entanglement Entropy and Its Proposed Transfer to Market-Direction Forecasting — Claim ledger

CSV-backed claim ledger tying paper claims to paper IDs and evidence status.

paper_idclaimclaim_statusevidence_statussource_depthsource_quotepage_or_sectiontaxonomy_fitaudit_status
2309.08800v1We introduce a computationally scalable framework for lead-lag detection in high-dimensional time series based on DTW, with clustering used as a denoising step.supportedhas evidence rowfull-textThe remainder of the data pre-processing is the same as above. 6.3 Benchmark In order to evaluate our proposed methodology, we also introduce a benchmark to detect lead-lag relationships without the use of clustering.16in-scope: LLM extractor confirmed direction matchneeds work; full-text verified; report=audit_report.md
2206.10173v1Deriving an asymptotic statistical test to compare the amount of transfer entropy from one time series to another.supportedhas evidence rowfull-textNote that both the asymptotic analytical and the bootstraps results agree. 4.2 Comparing TEs Benchmarking the true null hypothesis, in this case, is much harder.1in-scope: LLM extractor confirmed direction matchneeds work; full-text verified; report=audit_report.md
2601.01871v1The proposed method delivers superior numerical performance compared to existing methods.supportedhas evidence rowfull-textRemark 3.3(Relation to mode estimation).Our formulation of the lead-lag parameter estimation problem is naturally connected to mode estimation for a probability density function, once the CPCF is replaced by the density.Section 4out-of-scope: LLM extractor flagged paper as not addressing directionneeds work; full-text verified; report=audit_report.md
2002.00208v3We prove that our definitions and the proposed inference methods can address the arbitrary-time-lag influence between cause and effect.supportedhas evidence rowfull-textLastly, the transfer entropy methods with bootstrapping almost failed to detect anything. /T_his is due to the weak signal of causal relations in real-world datasets. 9.4 Variable lags vs. fixed lag 9.4.1 VL-Granger causality.1out-of-scope: LLM extractor flagged paper as not addressing directionneeds work; full-text verified; report=audit_report.md
2305.06704v3We introduce a computationally scalable pipeline for the robust detection of lead-lag relationships in high-dimensional time series.supportedhas evidence rowfull-textThe remainder of the data pre-processing is the same as above. 6.3 Benchmark In order to evaluate our proposed methodology, we also introduce a benchmark to detect lead-lag relationships without the use of clustering.4in-scope: LLM extractor confirmed direction matchneeds work; full-text verified; report=audit_report.md